Adrian Negrescu(economic consultant): Romania, not in default scenario, politicians should be more reserved in making statements
The situation on the political scene is influencing more than ever the fears of investors, who are starting to sell Romanian securities and to leave Romania from an investment perspective, maintains the economic consultant, Adrian Negrescu.
'Romania is facing an unprecedented currency crisis. The situation on the political scene is influencing more than ever the fears of investors who are starting to sell Romanian securities, are starting to leave Romania from an investment perspective and, therefore, I think it is absolutely essential, vital, that the Romanian president, the new interim prime minister to go out into the public space and talk about Romania's commitments, to give assurances that our country will not default, as former Prime Minister Ciolacu said, and that we will respect all the commitments undertaken by the Romanian state. We need some messages of stability from the higher levels of the state institutions, because the investors' fears are growing. Consider that one of the candidates is promising in the public arena that he will cut interest rates on all loans to Romanians, an aberration from an economic point of view, which raises questions about his discernment regarding economic issues. Beyond the messages of stability that the prime minister and the interim president must convey, it is necessary that the two candidates for the presidency of Romania, Mr. [George] Simion and Mr. Nicusor [Dan], go out in the public space and talk about investments in Romania, talk about the plans they have from an economic point of view, outline the measures they will take once they reach the most important position in the state,' Adrian Negrescu told AGERPRES on Tuesday.
In his opinion, the phenomenon of capital withdrawal from Romania will worsen if the question marks related to the situation of the economy and public finances are not clarified very soon.
'If we do not clear up these question marks related to the state of the economy and public finances very soon, I am afraid that this phenomenon of capital withdrawal from Romania will become more pronounced, and Romania will lose, from an investment point of view, all the 10-15 years of economic growth that we have had from the perspective of investors' perceptions,' the economic consultant added.
According to him, the National Bank has allocated almost 3 billion EUR to maintain the exchange rate at 4.97 RON/EUR, a measure that is becoming useless given the way investors view Romania.
'In the coming period, the exchange rate is expected to exceed 5 RON for 1 EUR. The National Bank has already allocated almost 3 billion EUR to keep the exchange rate at 4.97 RON/EUR, a measure that was salutary in the short term, but which is becoming useless in terms of how investors view Romania. I am afraid that, if the National Bank continues this policy of supporting the exchange rate, it will only attract speculators to Romania, attract hedge funds and turn this whole exchange rate game into a real financial war from which we will have the most to lose. I am sure that the exchange rate will depreciate in the coming period and this is a healthy thing from the perspective of the way the economy is adjusting, as a result of the administrative dynamics on the political scene,' said Adrian Negrescu.
He emphasized that Romania has a sufficient financial buffer at the Ministry of Finance, which allows the payment of bills for a period of 2-3 months.
'Unfortunately, the former prime minister Ciolacu played a major role in this negative perception, when he repeatedly stated that Romania is at risk of defaulting on its payments. We are not in this scenario. Romania has a sufficient financial buffer at the Ministry of Finance that allows us to pay our bills for a period of 2-3 months. We have a sufficient foreign exchange reserve at the National Bank and we have an agreement with the European Commission, the IMF and the World Bank which allow us to access a line of rapid financing in case we have a financial problem, in such a way that we do not risk defaulting. So, politicians should be more reserved in this period in making absolutely aberrant statements about the economic situation and let the specialists talk, give messages of stability, not to put gas on the fire of investors' fears,' added the economic consultant.
The Bucharest stock exchange reacted negatively to the results of the first round of the presidential elections and to the changes on the political scene, while the interest rates used to calculate the cost of loans increased and the RON/EUR exchange rate on Tuesday exceeded the psychological threshold of 5 RON. AGERPRES (RO - writing by: Nicoleta Banciulea; EN - writing by: Simona Iacob)
The content of the www.agerpres.ro website has the exclusive purpose of public informing.
All the information published on this website by AGERPRES is protected by relevant legal dispositions.
It is forbidden to copy, reproduce, recompile, decompile, distribute, publish, display, modify, create derived components or products or full services, as well as any exploitation of the site's content.
Details in the section Terms of Use. If you are interested in picking up AGERPRES news items, please contact the Marketing Department – marketing@agerpres.ro.
The use of the Comments section entails your obligation to respect the AGERPRES terms and conditions in regards to the publishing of comments on the www.agerpres.ro.
Other news in category
All Deva Inventcor Academy projects, awarded at Guangzhou International Exhibition of Inventions
All six inventions and programmes of the Deva Inventcor Academy, that have been presented at the International Exhibition of Inventions in Guangzhou (China), were awarded by the exhibition jury, the team coordinated by inventor Corneliu Birtok Baneasa having managed to win two gold medals, two silver and two bronze medals. The competition gathered over 3,700 i
Covasna County to host 6th edition of EVA FilmMakers Fest
Screenings of films signed by women directors from Romania and abroad, workshops and meetings with audiences are included in the programme of the sixth edition of the EVA FilmMakers Fest, which will take place from 22 to 27 September in several locations across Covasna County, the organisers announce. According to the organisers, the events will be held in Sfa
Photography exhibition dedicated to the Slovak community in Bihor to open in Oradea, with Slovak ambassador attending
An exhibition featuring 60 photographs by photographer Stefan Toth Istvan, inspired by the life and traditions of the Slovak community in Bihor, will be presented on September 19 under the title 'The Slovaks of Valea Cerului Festival'. The opening ceremony will take place on Saturday in the presence of the Ambassador of the Slovak Republic to Romania,
Several hundred shepherds gather on pavement in front of Antipa Museum
Several hundred shepherds are participating in a protest on Tuesday morning, for which mobilisation was organised on social media, with the shepherds moving from the car park in Victoriei Square, where they initially gathered, to the pavement in front of the Antipa Museum. Protesters contacted by AGERPRES declined to comment. The shepherds'
The economy restarts when people and businesses begin to have confidence in tomorrow again (minister)
Economic adjustment must create the conditions for restoring confidence and achieving healthy growth, while an economy does not restart through laws, ordinances or public statements, but when people and businesses once again begin to have confidence in tomorrow, interim Finance Minister Alexandru Nazare believes. According to him, August saw the fastest slowdo
Romania defeat Türkiye and advance to round of 16 at CEV Enel EuroVolley 2026
Romanian men's national volleyball team qualified for the round of 16 at the 2026 European Volleyball Championship - CEV Enel EuroVolley 2026, hosted by Italy, Bulgaria, Finland and Romania, after defeating Türkiye 3-1 (25-19, 25-21, 20-25, 25-18) on Monday evening at the BT Arena in Cluj-Napoca, in a Group E match. The Tricolours secured the win in o
Interim ForMin Toiu attends 70th session of IAEA General Conference
Interim Foreign Affairs Minister Oana Toiu is leading Romania's delegation at the 70th Session of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) General Conference, taking place in Vienna from September 14 to 18, with her participation focusing on the day of national statements, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MAE) conveyed. According to the MAE, in her sp
President Dan: We face the same threat on the eastern flank and in the Arctic region
We face the same threat on the eastern flank and in the Arctic region, and behind this threat is the Russian Federation, President Nicusor Dan said on Monday before attending the European Arctic Summit in Finland. 'We are an important country on the eastern flank and we face the same threat on the eastern flank and in the Arctic region. Of course, Russia i
American violinist, 11, becomes youngest-ever George Enescu International Competition winner
Eleven-year-old American violinist Jayden King has won First Prize in the Violin Section of the 2026 George Enescu International Competition, becoming the youngest winner in the history of the competition. Italy's Francesco Papa won Second Prize and South Korea's Eun Che Kim Third Prize following the final held on Sunday at the Romanian Athenaeum. Jayd
'Focus Japan' at BIFF 2026, from contemporary animation to Kiyoshi Kurosawa's latest film
A programme dedicated to contemporary Japanese cinema, bringing together three titles, 'We Are Aliens,' directed by Kohei Kadowaki, 'The Keeper of the Camphor Tree,' directed by Tomohiko Ito, and 'The Samurai and the Prisoner,' the latest film by filmmaker Kiyoshi Kurosawa, will be presented at the 22nd edition of the Bucharest International Film Fest
Interim ForMin Toiu talks with ambassadors of EU states, including on Union's future multiannual budget
Interim Foreign Affairs Minister Oana Toiu participated in a working meeting with the heads of missions of the EU member states accredited in Romania organised by the Embassy of Ireland in Bucharest, context in which she also discussed the European Union's future multiannual budget, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MAE) informed. The meeting held on Friday
Number of completed dwellings rises by nearly 30% in first half of year
The number of dwellings completed nationwide rose to 31,958 units in the first six months of this year, compared with 24,609 in the same period of 2025, according to the National Institute of Statistics (INS) data published on Monday. By area of residence, most dwellings were completed in urban areas in the first half of 2026, accounting for 59.7% of the total
Atlantis Water Sports Festival concludes with Romania's first swimrun competition
The Ice Swimming and Open Water Romania Association (ISOWR) organised, at the end of last week, Romania's first swimrun competition, a race in which participants alternate between swimming in the sea and running on the sand, with no transition zones; the event marked the end of the Atlantis Water Sports Festival. The swimrun competition, held on the Black
First aid demonstrations at University Square on Monday
Bucharest residents and tourists will be able to participate on Monday free of charge in practical first-aid demonstrations organised in the underpass at University Square, where volunteers from the SMURD Foundation will demonstrate emergency response techniques as part of the ‘Life Savers' campaign. The event is organised by Groupama and the SMURD F
President Nicusor Dan to attend European Summit dedicated to Arctic Region in Finland on Monday
President Nicusor Dan will attend the European Summit dedicated to the Arctic Region on Monday, hosted by the Republic of Finland in Rovaniemi. The head of state will visit the Lapland Air Wing military base before travelling to the Arktikum Centre, where he will take part in the working session entitled 'Current Developments, Security and Future Outlook o









